Pater Tenebrarum


Real Estate is Doomed – Part 1: The Fed

Too Much Debt The Chair and the Vice Chair of the Fed both spoke last week.  Janet Yellen testified in front of the …

The Day the ATMs Run Out …

Receding Tide Please remember this warning when you go to the ATM to get cash… and there is none! While we were thinking …

The U.S. Stock Market Is At Its Most Overvalued Level In History

The Market Isn’t Cheap We frequently run across assertions that the US stock market is allegedly “cheap,” because the trailing P/E of the …

The Next Real Estate Crash

On Shaky Ground Real estate does not crash, it is real estate financing that crashes. Easy sub-prime mortgages caused real estate prices to …

Misconceptions About Gold

Gold is Money (Sort Of) Few markets are as widely misunderstood and subject to as many misconceptions as the gold market. Many of …

Is the Oil price falling to $20?

Popping Rivets The Dow rose 110 points on Thursday to settle at 17,972. It seems to be struggling with the 18,000 milestone, as …

The Beauty Of Deflation

Deflation Paranoia The euro zone’s consumer price inflation rate declined below 1% in early 2014, getting closer to zero during 2014, nowhere near …

Greece And The EU – Nothing But Political Theater?

Varoufakis’ Tour of Europe Greece’s new finance minister Yanis Varoufakis has toured Europe, trying to drum up support for – actually, we’re not …

Buckle Up! Accidents Ahead…

A Moment of Pause We don’t know whether US stock prices are going up or down. They usually go up and down.

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