Stock Update (NASDAQ:MDVN): Medivation Inc’s Board of Directors Unanimously Rejects Sanofi’s Unsolicited Proposal

Medivation Inc (NASDAQ:MDVN) announced that its Board of Directors, after consultation with its financial and legal advisors, unanimously determined that the unsolicited proposal from Sanofi to acquire Medivation for $52.50 per share in cash substantially undervalues Medivation and is not in the best interests of the company and its stockholders.

“Over the past several years, we have established a world class oncology franchise and a unique, diversified and highly-promising late-stage development pipeline,” said David Hung, M.D., Founder, President and Chief Executive Officer of Medivation. “Further, we have a track record of delivering extraordinary value to our stockholders. Sanofi’s opportunistically-timed proposal, which comes during a period of significant market dislocation, and prior to several important near-term events for the company, is designed to seize for Sanofi value that rightly belongs to our stockholders. We believe the continued successful execution of our well-defined strategic plan will deliver greater value to Medivation’s stockholders than Sanofi’s substantially inadequate proposal.”

The Medivation Board of Directors’ unanimous conclusion was based on the following:

The proposal substantially undervalues Medivation and its leading oncology franchise.

  • Medivation has significant scarcity value as one of the few profitable, commercial-stage oncology companies;it has brought a blockbuster product to market and is leveraging its expertise to develop and bring to market additional products.
  • Medivation has built XTANDI® (enzalutamide) capsules into a rapidly-growing, multi-billion dollar oncology product and remains on track to achieve its 2016 U.S. net sales guidance, which implies approximately 28% growth (at the mid-point) for the year.
    • XTANDI is one of the most successful oncology product launches in history and just surpassed Johnson & Johnson’s Zytiga® (abiraterone) in U.S. market share, despite launching sixteen months later.
    • XTANDI has achieved worldwide annual net sales of $2.2 billion on a run rate basis, less than four years after its initial approval.
  • XTANDI has significant patent life with 10+ years of remaining exclusivity.
  • XTANDI is poised to capitalize on a substantial, near-term commercial opportunity in urology, enabling it to serve a larger patient population of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) and increasing the duration of therapy.
    • The PDUFA date for TERRAIN/STRIVE label expansion on October 22, 2016, is rapidly approaching and is anticipated to drive significantly greater adoption by urologists.
    • In April, the CHMP issued a positive opinion to include findings from the TERRAIN trial in the European label.
    • Medivation recently expanded its specialty salesforce to create dedicated urology and oncology selling teams that are just starting to have a promotional impact.
  • XTANDI has multiple opportunities beyond mCRPC, which are not reflected in the company’s current valuation.
    • Ongoing Phase 3 trials, i.e. PROSPER and EMBARK, are designed to move XTANDI even earlier in the prostate cancer treatment paradigm; PROSPER is on track to complete enrollment of 1,560 patients in mid-2017.
    • Medivation is pursuing clinical development across three major subtypes of breast cancer, a new and significant market opportunity for XTANDI, and expects to report top-line Phase 2 data in patients with ER/PR+ breast cancer, which represents 50% of all breast cancers, in the second half of 2016.
    • A Phase 3 trial in Triple Negative Breast Cancer, a significant unmet need, is expected to initiate later in 2016.
    • The company continues to explore XTANDI in other solid tumor indications and settings, e.g., in hepatocellular carcinoma and in combination with immunotherapy.

Sanofi’s proposal would deny Medivation’s stockholders the value of Medivation’s wholly-owned, innovative late-stage pipeline.

  • Talazoparib represents another blockbuster opportunity as a potentially best-in-class PARP inhibitor targeting a wide range of oncology indications.
    • Top-line data from the Phase 3 EMBRACA trial in germline BRCA mutated advanced breast cancer is expected in the first half of 2017.
    • Recent data reported at AACR demonstrate talazoparib’s potential in tumors with defects in DNA repair beyond BRCA deficiency and possibly in patients without evidence of homologous recombination deficiency when used in combination with low dose chemotherapy.
    • The company is preparing to initiate several clinical trials in 2016, including in breast cancer beyond germline BRCA mutations, prostate cancer, ovarian cancer and small cell lung cancer, including potentially registrational trials.
    • Medivation recently met with the FDA to discuss clinical trial design and a potential accelerated approval pathway in prostate cancer.
    • Talazoparib is highly synergistic with our existing development and commercial infrastructure.
    • Additional clinical data demonstrating talazoparib’s potent activity is expected to be presented at a medical meeting later in the year.
  • Pidilizumab has the potential to be a novel immuno-oncology candidate supported by clinical efficacy and a strong safety profile in several hematological malignancies.

The execution of Medivation’s business plan will deliver value to its stockholders that is far superior to Sanofi’s proposal.

  • Medivation has an exceptional track record for execution.
    • XTANDI has achieved all development and sales milestones under Medivation’s collaboration with Astellas.
  • Medivation’s track record for delivering value to our stockholders is exemplified by XTANDI, which was in-licensed as a pre-clinical asset in 2005, received full FDA approval in seven years (better than industry average), and achieved $2.2 billion in worldwide annual net sales on a run rate basis in less than four years.
  • The company has generated a 1,440%+ total shareholder return for its stockholders since 2009.
  • Medivation has already achieved two years of profitability, despite only launching XTANDI in late 2012, and the company has pursued minimal, dilutive capital raises.

Sanofi’s timing is designed to benefit Sanofi – not Medivation’s stockholders.

  • Sanofi approached Medivation following a period of significant market dislocation in biotech and just as the market was beginning to recover.
    • The “private offer” was submitted to Medivation when the NBI index was almost 30% below its July 2015 high.
    • The proposal offer price is:
      • 21% below Medivation’s 52-week trading high of $66.40
      • Less than a 14% premium to Medivation’s 12-month volume weighted average price, or VWAP
      • Only a 9% premium to Medivation’s VWAP over the last month

Medivation will provide additional information on its financial performance, XTANDI’s utilization and the company’s clinical development plans for talazoparib on next week’s earnings call.

Kim D. Blickenstaff, Chairman of Medivation’s Board of Directors, notes that “Medivation has a long history of producing superior growth and generating significant value for its stockholders. Since the launch of XTANDI, Medivation has achieved revenues of nearly $1 billion in just over three years. There are several exciting pipeline opportunities that will drive significant growth. The Board is determined to continue to aggressively focus on working for, and delivering value to, Medivation’s stockholders.” (Original Source)

Shares of Medivation are up 0.59% to $56.50 in pre-market trading. MDVN has a 1-year high of $66.40 and a 1-year low of $26.41. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $44.94 and its 200-day moving average is $41.08.

On the ratings front, Medivation has been the subject of a number of recent research reports. In a report released yesterday, Citigroup analyst Yigal Nochomovitz maintained a Hold rating on MDVN, with a price target of $37, which represents a potential downside of 34.1% from where the stock is currently trading. Separately, on April 26, William Blair’s Y Katherine Xu maintained a Buy rating on the stock and has a price target of $67.

According to, which ranks over 7,500 financial analysts and bloggers to gauge the performance of their past recommendations, Yigal Nochomovitz and Y Katherine Xu have a total average return of -18.2% and 3.0% respectively. Nochomovitz has a success rate of 28.3% and is ranked #3781 out of 3837 analysts, while Xu has a success rate of 46.2% and is ranked #1272.

Overall, 6 research analysts have assigned a Hold rating and 8 research analysts have given a Buy rating to the stock. When considering if perhaps the stock is under or overvalued, the average price target is $45.80 which is -18.5% under where the stock closed yesterday.

Medivation, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which is focused on the rapid development and commercialization of novel therapies to treat serious diseases for which there are limited treatment options. The company was founded by Clarence Patrick Machado and David T. Hung in October 1995 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.


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