Company Update (NASDAQ:CSCO): Cisco Systems, Inc. Executives Expect Digital Disruption to Displace 4 in 10 Incumbents by Industry Within Next 5 Years

The effect of digital disruption on business has the potential to overturn incumbents and reshape markets faster than perhaps any force in history, according to a new report released today by the Global Center for Digital Business Transformation (DBT Center), an initiative between Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) and the International Institute of Management Development (IMD) in Lausanne, Switzerland.

The report, entitled Digital Vortex: How Digital Disruption is Redefining Industries, is the first from the DBT Center. The report investigated the state of digital disruption and the outlook for industries through a survey of 941 business leaders in 12 industries and 13 countries including Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan,Mexico, Russia, United Kingdom, and the United States.

The results of the study show that digital disruption will displace approximately 40 percent of incumbent companies in each of the 12 industries studied for the report within the next five years. Despite digital disruption’s potential to overturn incumbents and reshape markets, the survey indicated 45 percent of companies do not believe digital disruption merits board-level attention.

“Every country, every city and every business will be required to become digital in order to thrive and survive in the new digital economy,” said Martin McPhee, senior vice president, Cisco Consulting Services. “The Global Center for Digital Business Transformation, which brings together digital disruption and education, will serve as a platform for executives to be educated on the why, what and how required for their digitization journey and the ultimate sustainability of their organizations.”

Most executives surveyed see digitization as a positive for business and society. In fact, 75 percent of executives surveyed believe that digital disruption is a form of progress, 72 percent said it improves value to customers and 66 percent feel it empowers individuals. At the same time, 43 percent either do not acknowledge the risk of digital disruption, or have not addressed it sufficiently. Only 25 percent describe their approach to digital disruption as proactive.

Among the 12 industries highlighted in the report, Technology Products & Services has the highest potential for disruption over the next five years. However, the report also shows data-driven industries in general top the disruption potential list, including Media & Entertainment, Telecommunications, Financial Services and Retail. According to the report, these are industries that rely on technology-enabled networks to exchange digital value, including data and transactions.

The disruption is being driven by well-funded start-ups, digitally proactive competitors and, increasingly, the merging of industries as digitization frees businesses to expand their value in new markets. On average, executives from incumbent companies in all 12 industries revealed that they expect substantial change due to digital disruption, including shifts in market share within five years. Yet, the survey indicates that nearly a third of incumbent companies are taking a “wait and see” approach, in the hopes of emulating successful competitors.

“It’s not just business models that are changing, it’s value chains and product offerings as well. Digitization is not just changing industries, it is increasingly blurring the lines between them,” said Michael Wade, Director of the DBT Center and Professor of Innovation and Strategy at IMD. “As industries move toward the center of the Digital Vortex, physical components — to the extent that they inhibit competitive advantage — are shed. The most successful disruptors employ what we refer to as ‘combinatorial disruption,’ in which multiple sources of value — cost, experience, and platform-are fused to create disruptive new business models and exponential gains.”

The term “Digital Vortex” describes the driving force created by digitization across all industries and how companies are being inevitably pulled toward the center of the phenomenon. The Digital Vortex research into the challenges and opportunities posed by digital disruption is an important first step for the DBT Center in what will be a five-year journey for IMD, Cisco, and an ecosystem of other partner organizations. (Original Source)

Shares of Cisco closed yesterday at $28.785 . CSCO has a 1-year high of $30.31 and a 1-year low of $22.49. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $29.03 and its 200-day moving average is $28.18.

On the ratings front, Cisco has been the subject of a number of recent research reports. In a report issued on June 10, Morgan Stanley analyst James Faucette maintained a Buy rating on CSCO, with a price target of $30, which represents a slight upside potential from current levels. Separately, on the same day, Oppenheimer’s Ittai Kidron reiterated a Buy rating on the stock and has a price target of $32.

According to, which ranks over 7,500 financial analysts and bloggers to gauge the performance of their past recommendations, James Faucette and Ittai Kidron have a total average return of 10.1% and 3.8% respectively. Faucette has a success rate of 76.0% and is ranked #663 out of 3640 analysts, while Kidron has a success rate of 54.0% and is ranked #888.

The street is mostly Bullish on CSCO stock. Out of 13 analysts who cover the stock, 9 suggest a Buy rating and 4 recommend to Hold the stock. The 12-month average price target assigned to the stock is $32.65, which represents a potential upside of 13.4% from where the stock is currently trading.


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