Cantor analyst Youssef Squali weighed in with his prediction on Twitter Inc (NYSE:TWTR), as the company is scheduled to report its first-quarter earnings results today after the market close. Twitter shares are currently trading at $51.25, up $0.41 or 0.79%.
Squali wrote, “We expect TWTR to report strong results on Tues, 4/28, with revenue growth of 83% Y/Y, the fastest in the group, driven primarily by monetization gains, although FX headwinds are likely. That said, users and engagement will be under the microscope again, since mgt noted re-accelerating user growth in Jan, and the latest product tweaks should help increase user engagement.”
The analyst looked at the numbers, noting, “Our 1Q:15 revenue is $457.3M (+82.6% Y/Y) vs. consensus’ (FactSet) of $455.9M, and management’s guidance of $440-450M. With int’l accounting for ~1/3 of revenue, FX is likely to be a headwind to growth. We estimate EBITDA at $104.0M (22.7% margin) vs. consensus’ $96.3M, and management guidance of $89-94M. We note that in 4Q:14, the company beat revenue/ EBITDA expectations by 6%/32%, respectively. Our NEPS estimate of ($0.01) is below the Street’s $0.04.”
According to TipRanks.com, which measures analysts’ and bloggers’ success rate based on how their calls perform, analyst Youssef Squali has a total average return of 26.8% and a 75.7% success rate. Squali has a 22.1% average return when recommending TWTR, and is ranked #4 out of 3581 analysts.