ValuEngine

About the Author ValuEngine

ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available. Our research team continues to develop, test, and improve the VE Stock Valuation Models and econometric models for forecasting stock price movement. In recent years, VE has expanded its research program to include portfolio construction and tracking products. Our primary products are this website for individual investors and ValuEngine Institutional (VEI), a software package for equity fund managers and other financial professionals.

Downgrading Facebook (FB) to Sell


It’s been a rough few weeks for social media giant Facebook (NASDAQ:FB). As we discussed just a few weeks ago, the company has been rocked by a series of scandals related to data breaches and user privacy. These scandals include the use of user data from more than 85 million accounts by Cambridge Analytica–a firm embroiled in the US 2016 election/Russia mess.

This week, Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been on capitol hill trying to tamp down various fires and stave off any additional regulation the US Congress may impose in the wake of this PR disaster. So far, reviews are mixed. Zuckerberg was blessed by the fact that Congress–or at least the members of the Senate questioning him–seemed woefully underinformed about Facebook–and the internet more generally.

Under a barrage of questions from Senators who were roundly mocked as AOL email users rather than tech-savvy individuals, Zuckerberg avoided the worst outcomes and successfully handled most issues. However, it remains to be seen how these scandals will play out in terms of Facebook’s user base, ad revenues, etc. We still don’t know if users will quit en masse once the full details of the various privacy abuses are revealed.

Our models currently rate the stock a SELL. This is a downgrade from our last bulletin on the firm–when it was rated HOLD. We may see some fluctuation here, as the one-year forecast figure is hovering around -5% at the moment.