Crocs Receives a Hold from Pivotal Research


Pivotal Research analyst Mitch Kummetz maintained a Hold rating on Crocs (NASDAQ: CROX) today and set a price target of $14. The company’s shares closed yesterday at $15.67, close to its 52-week high of $17.44.

Kummetz wrote:

“We’re modeling 1Q sales at the high end of guidance as we suspect that CROX came into the quarter with a strong spring order book. We have less conviction on the year as a whole, as 2Q is the company’s biggest sales/EPS quarter; it is also a reorder-driven quarter, and recent unfavorable weather has not been a favorable backdrop for reorders. For 1Q18, CROX was guiding to the following Sales of $265M-$275M, GM of 49% and SG&A of $115M-$118M (including SG&A reduction plan charge). This translates into EBIT of $15M-$17M. If not for a change in inventory costing methodology (from average cost to FIFO), CROX would be guiding to a modest GM increase (vs. 49.9% ly). We are modeling sales/EPS of $274M /$0.12; consensus is $272M/$0.13. Modeling 1Q sales at high end of guidance on the strength of CROX’s spring orders With regard to wholesale (68% of 1Q17 sales), 1Q is a prebook-driven quarter, and we suspect that CROX came into 1Q18 with a strong spring order book.”

According to TipRanks.com, Kummetz is a 1-star analyst with an average return of -2.6% and a 48.4% success rate. Kummetz covers the Services sector, focusing on stocks such as Foot Locker Inc, Shoe Carnival, and Genesco Inc.

Crocs has an analyst consensus of Hold, with a price target consensus of $13.80.

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The company has a one-year high of $17.44 and a one-year low of $5.93. Currently, Crocs has an average volume of 1.05M.

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Crocs, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacturing, worldwide marketing, and distribution of casual footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and children. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia Pacific, and Europe.

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