Leigh Drogen

About the Author Leigh Drogen

Leigh Drogen is the Founder and CEO of Estimize. Estimize is an open financial estimates platform which facilitates the aggregation of fundamental estimates from independent, buy-side, and sell-side analysts, along with those of industry experts, private investors and students. By sourcing estimates from a diverse community of individuals, Estimize provides both a more accurate and more representative view of expectations compared to sell side only data. Leigh started his career as a quant trader at Geller Capital, a White Plains, NY based fund where he ran strategies that looked at earnings acceleration and analyst estimate revision models, as well as price momentum and several sentiment indicators. Leigh later went on to be the founder of Surfview Capital, a New York based asset management firm that used many of the same strategies as Geller Capital, with a focus on higher beta names on an intermediate term time frame. His educational background includes focus in economics and international relations, specifically war theory. He is a graduate with honors from Hunter College in New York City. You can contact Leigh by emailing him at Leigh@estimize.com

All Eyes On SolarCity Corp (SCTY) Earnings This Evening

After Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) met expectations this past week, investors are hoping Elon Musk’s other company, SolarCity Corp (NASDAQ:SCTY) can do the same when it reports first quarter earnings this monday. SolarCity may have received more good news earlier this earnings season when competitor First Solar beat expectations, reflecting increasing demand within the industry. Unfortunately SolarCity is not First Solar, and the Elon Musk run company continues to take a loss. Last quarter featured a beat on both the top and bottom line while losses reached record lows and revenue hit record highs.

The Estimize consensus is calling for a loss of $2.29 per share on $107.21 million in revenue, 1 cent higher than Wall Street on the bottom line and $2 million on the top. Compared to a year earlier profits are predicted to fall 50% while sales could rise as much as 58%. Given Solar City’s track record of losses, it’s not surprising that the stock is a frequent mover throughout earnings season. In the 30 days leading up to its report the stock increases as much as 8% and then declines to a 4% loss in the 30 days following its report. Solar City’s biggest problem lately has been its inability to generate profits. Each quarter earnings have steadily declined as the company continues to burn cash. This issue is unlikely to get better anytime soon as the price of solar energy falls and subsidies lessens. In an effort to not run out of cash, the company recently raised $227 million in cash equity from John Hancock Financial. While this is the great step in the right direction SolarCity will have to do more to manage its losses. Luckily as costs decline for solar energy, the company is seeing higher deployments. Last quarter featured record highs in solar megawatts installed and deployed with cost per watt declining. As the number of installations increase, the company will start to see improving future cash flow. Last month, SolarCity announced a deal to install solar panel systems in Whole Foods across the United States. The deal will be helpful this quarter that the company is guiding to be seasonally weak.

According to TipRanks which ranks over 7,500 financial analysts and bloggers based on how well their calls perform, the analyst consensus on SolarCity is Buy and the average price target is $46.33, representing a %106 upside. The data is based on 14 analysts that rated SolarCity in the past 3 months.


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