Sober Look

About the Author Sober Look

Sober Look (www.SoberLook.com) is a financial blog that deals with issues in capital markets, risk management, the economy, the financial services industry, and regulatory policy, with emphasis on finance education. The goal is to get beyond the hype and hysteria and focus on real issues, using facts and data from primary sources. Send us tips, questions, suggestions, comments, guest posts - you can remain anonymous if you wish: tips@SoberLook.com Twitter: @SoberLook

What is the Possibility of a 2015 Rate Hike?

Futures-implied probability of a 2015 rate hike in the United States remains below 40%. Some market participants have all but dismissed this possibility …

Canada and the Oil Price Shock

By┬áNorman Mogil, Canada is no stranger in dealing with oil price collapses. The sharp fall in the price of crude in 2014 is …

Renewed Demand for Dollar Funding in the Eurozone

In 2011, as the sovereign debt crisis engulfed the Eurozone, the EUR/USD swap basis was deep in the negative territory (see 2011 post). …

The Eurozone: on the road to recovery with a lingering risk

Back in September the idea that the Eurozone’s economy could potentially undergo a recovery (see post) was met with some skepticism. And yet …

The Harsh Realities Of The Greece-Eurozone Game Of Chicken

The Greece-Eurozone dispute has received a great deal of attention in the media in recent weeks. It seems, however, that contradicting statements and …

Improvements In The Euro Area Credit Conditions Should Not Be Ignored

While there is almost no coverage of this topic in the financial media and the blogosphere, credit conditions in the Eurozone are showing …

China’s Imports Drop 20% Explaining PBoC Action; China Watchers Clueless

China’s trade report this weekend was dismal. Exports dropped 3.

Greece’s Fight Against ‘Fiscal Waterboarding’ Will Halt Economic Recovery

We are about to witness a historic showdown between the major euro area institutions and Greece. Greece’s newly appointed finance minister Yanis Varoufakis, …

Canadian Banks Hesitate To Follow The Bank Of Canada’s Rate Cut

The Bank of Canada surprised markets last week when they lowered the overnight rate 0.75% on Wednesday.

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