James Picerno

About the Author James Picerno

James Picerno is a financial journalist who has been writing about finance and investment theory for more than twenty years. He writes for trade magazines read by financial professionals and financial advisers. Over the years, he’s written for the Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, Bloomberg Markets, Mutual Funds, Modern Maturity, Investment Advisor, Reuters, and his popular finance blog, The CapitalSpectator.

The Conflict Between The Equity Market Optimism And The Risk-Off Trade In Treasuries

Is the US stock market inspired by expectations that the Fed will delay interest rate hikes? Or perhaps the crowd anticipates that economic …

Is The Weak Labor Market A Smoking Gun For The Business Cycle?

The recent slowdown in job growth in the US will likely convince the Federal Reserve to forgo another interest rate hike at its …

All You Need to Know About May Jobs Report

US job growth fell hard last month, the Labor Department reports. Private-sector payrolls increased by a thin 25,000 in May, the smallest monthly …

S&P 500: The Bear-Market Bias Endures

The bear-market bias that’s been lurking for the US stock market since last autumn remains intact, according to several econometric applications. Although equities …

Utilities SPDR (ETF) (XLU): Utility Stocks Pack A Punch Among U.S. Sectors

The US stock market is looking wobbly again, but you wouldn’t know it by reviewing the trend in utility stocks. This interest-rate sensitive …

Jobless claims release may prove to be an outlier with minimal relevance for the US business cycle

New filings for unemployment benefits in the US soared last week, delivering a sharp rebuke to the consensus forecast, which was looking for …

S&P 500: Will Job Growth Kill The Bear-Market Signal For Stocks?

It’s all about jobs now. Actually, it’s always been about jobs.

M0 Money Supply Hints At Rate Hikes Later This Year

There’s no chance that the Federal Reserve will announce a rate hike at its monetary meeting next week, according to the Fed funds …

Does The U.S. Economy Still Have A Money-Demand Problem?

The ongoing collapse of the velocity of M2 money supply screams loud on clear: YES. As the St.

S&P 500: The US Stock Market’s Acid Test Begins Now

If the bear-market label doesn’t apply to the US stock market, the evidence will be forthcoming in weeks ahead. But that’s a high …

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