Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ:CTRP), a leading travel service provider of accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours and corporate travel management in China, announced its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2015.

Highlights for the Fourth Quarter of 2015

  • Net revenues were RMB2.9 billion (US$444 million) for the fourth quarter of 2015, up 50% year-on-year.
  • Net commission earned (non-GAAP) was RMB2.8 billion for the fourth quarter, up 49% year-on-year. Net commission earned (non-GAAP) is calculated by deducting from the revenues the cost of transactions in which the Company undertakes majority of the business risks, including the inventory risks*. The Company accounts for discounts offered to customers as reduction to its revenues, and certain significant discounts may result in selling prices lower than their corresponding costs.
  • Accommodation reservation revenues increased 41% year-on-year, reaching RMB1.2 billion (US$183 million) for the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • Transportation ticketing revenues increased 61% year-on-year, reaching RMB1.2 billion (US$192 million) for the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • Gross margin was 73% for the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 69% in the same period in 2014, and remained consistent with the previous quarter.
  • Net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB76 million (US$12 million) for the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to net loss of RMB224 million (US$36 million) in the same period in 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB272 million (US$42 million), compared to net loss of RMB98 million (US$16 million) in the same period in 2014.
  • Diluted earnings per ADS were RMB0.19 (US$0.03) for the fourth quarter of 2015. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), diluted earnings per ADS were RMB0.69 (US$0.11) for the fourth quarter of 2015.
  • Share-based compensation charges were RMB196 million (US$30 million), accounting for 7% of the net revenues, or RMB0.5(US$0.08) per ADS for the fourth quarter of 2015.
* The Company presents majority of its revenue on a net basis. Revenues are recognized on a gross basis when the Company undertakes the majority of the business risks and acts as principal. In the fourth quarter of 2015, the Company recognized the revenue on a gross basis in the amount of RMB0.07 billion, and the associated cost of RMB0.07 billion. Should all of these transactions be presented on net basis, the net commission earned was RMB2.8 billion.

Highlights for the Full Year 2015

  • Net revenues were RMB10.9 billion (US$1.7 billion) in 2015, up 48% year-on-year.
  • Accommodation reservation revenues increased 44% year-on-year, reaching RMB4.6 billion (US$713 million) in 2015.
  • Transportation ticketing revenues increased 51% year-on-year, reaching RMB4.5 billion (US$688 million) in 2015.
  • Gross margin was 72% in 2015, compared to 71% in 2014.
  • Net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB2.5 billion (US$387 million), compared to RMB243 million (US$39 million) in 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB3.2 billion (US$486 million), compared to RMB739 million (US$119 million) in 2014..
  • Diluted earnings per ADS were RMB7.11 (US$1.10) in 2015. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), diluted earnings per ADS were RMB8.80 (US$1.36) in 2015**.
  • Share-based compensation charges were RMB643 million (US$99 million), accounting for 6% of the net revenues, or RMB1.69 (US$0.26) per ADS in 2015.
** Effective December 1, 2015, the Company effected a change of the ratio of its American depositary shares (“ADSs”) to ordinary shares from four (4) ADSs representing one (1) ordinary share to eight (8) ADSs representing one (1) ordinary share. The historical and present earnings/ (loss) per share for the periods presented herein has been retrospectively adjusted to reflect such effect.

“Ctrip continued to execute well in the fourth quarter of 2015, achieving solid revenue growth and significant margin improvement compared to the same period in 2014,” said James Liang, Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of Ctrip. “In addition, we expect Ctrip’s investment in other industry players last year to help improve services and products to better serve Chinese travelers and build a healthy ecosystem for the overall travel industry. With favorable industry trends and solid execution, we believe that Ctrip demonstrates promising long-term growth potential.”

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015 Financial Results and Business Updates

For the fourth quarter of 2015, Ctrip reported total revenues of RMB3.0 billion (US$468 million), representing a 50% increase from the same period in 2014. Total revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 decreased by 10% from the previous quarter, primarily due to seasonality.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, total revenues were RMB11.5 billion (US$1.8 billion), representing a 48% increase from 2014.

Accommodation reservation revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 were RMB1.2 billion (US$183 million), representing a 41% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by increase in accommodation reservation volume. Accommodation reservation revenues decreased by 14% from the previous quarter, primarily due to seasonality.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, accommodation reservation revenues were RMB4.6 billion (US$713 million), representing a 44% increase from 2014. The hotel reservation revenues accounted for 40% of the total revenues in 2015 and 41% of the total revenue in 2014.

Transportation ticketing revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 were RMB1.2 billion (US$192 million), representing a 61% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by an increase of 143% in ticketing volume. Transportation ticketing revenues increased by 3% from the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, transportation ticketing reservation revenues were RMB4.5 billion (US$688 million), representing a 51% increase from 2014. The transportation ticketing revenues accounted for 39% of the total revenues in 2015 and 38% of the total revenue in 2014.

Packaged-tour revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 were RMB350 million (US$54 million), representing a 50% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by an increase in volume growth of organized tours and self-guided tours. Packaged-tour revenues decreased by 41% from the previous quarter, primarily due to seasonality.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, packaged-tour reservation revenues were RMB1.7 billion (US$257 million), representing a 58% increase from 2014. The packaged-tour reservation revenues accounted for 15% of the total revenues in 2015 and 14% of the total revenues in 2014.

Corporate travel revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 were RMB136 million (US$21 million), representing a 26% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by the increased corporate travel demand from business activities. Corporate travel revenues increased by 9% from the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, corporate travel revenues were RMB473 million (US$73 million), representing a 27% increase from 2014. The corporate travel reservation revenues accounted for 4% of the total revenues in 2015 and 5% of the total revenues in 2014.

For the fourth quarter of 2015, net revenues were RMB2.9 billion (US$444 million), representing a 50% increase from the same period in 2014. Net revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 decreased by 10% from the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, net revenues were RMB10.9 billion (US$1.7 billion), representing a 48% increase from 2014.

Gross margin was 73% for the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to 69% in the same period in 2014 and remained consistent with the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, gross margin was 72%, compared to 71% in 2014.

Product development expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 increased by 9% to RMB860 million (US$133 million) from the same period in 2014 and increased by 4% from the previous quarter, primarily due to an increase in share-based compensation charges. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), product development expenses accounted for 27% of the net revenues, decreasing from 39% in the same period in 2014 and increased from 24% in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, product development expenses were RMB3.3 billion (US$509 million), representing an increase of 42% from 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), product development expenses accounted for 28% of the net revenues, decreasing from 29% in 2014.

Sales and marketing expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 increased by 20% to RMB849 million (US$131 million) from the same period in 2014, primarily due to an increase in sales and marketing related activities. Sales and marketing expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 increased by 1% from the previous quarter. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), sales and marketing expenses accounted for 29% of the net revenues, decreasing from 36% in the same period in 2014 and increasing from 26% in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, sales and marketing expenses were RMB3.1 billion (US$477 million), representing an increase of 39% from 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), sales and marketing expenses accounted for 28% of the net revenues, decreasing from 29% in 2014.

General and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter of 2015 increased by 31% to RMB307 million (US$47 million) from the same period in 2014 and 17% from the previous quarter, primarily due to an increase in consulting expenses, share-based compensation changes and rental expenses. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), general and administrative expenses accounted for 7% of the net revenues, decreasing from 9% in the same period in 2014 and increasing from 6% in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, general and administrative expenses were RMB1.1 billion (US$168 million), representing an increase of 26% from 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), general and administrative expenses accounted for 7% of the net revenues, decreasing from 8% in 2014.

Income from operations for the fourth quarter of 2015 was RMB95 million (US$15 million), compared to loss of RMB401 million (US$65 million) in the same period in 2014 and income of RMB405 million (US$64 million) in the previous quarter. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), income from operations was RMB292 million (US$45 million), compared to loss of RMB274 million (US$44 million) in the same period in 2014 and income of RMB539 million(US$85 million) in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, income from operations was RMB381 million (US$59 million), compared to loss of RMB151 million (US$24 million) in 2014.  Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), income from operations was RMB1.0 billion (US$158 million), compared RMB346 million (US$56 million) in 2014.

Operating margin was 3% for the fourth quarter of 2015, compared to -21% in the same period in 2014, and 13% in the previous quarter. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), operating margin was 10%, compared to -14% in the same period in 2014 and 17% in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, operating margin was 3%, compared to -2% in 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), operating margin was 9%, compared to 5% in 2014.

Income tax expense for the fourth quarter of 2015 was RMB71 million (US$11 million), compared to income tax benefit ofRMB13 million (US$2 million) in the same period of 2014 and income tax expense of RMB361 million (US$57 million) in the previous quarter.

Income tax expense for the full year ended December 31, 2015 was RMB470 million (US$73 million), compared toRMB131 million (US$21 million) in 2014.

Net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders for the fourth quarter of 2015 was RMB76 million (US$12 million), compared to net loss of RMB224 million (US$36 million) in the same period in 2014 and net income of RMB2.4 billion(US$380 million) in the previous quarter. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB272 million (US$42 million), compared to net loss of RMB98 million (US$16 million) in the same period in 2014 and net income of RMB2.5 billion (US$401 million) in the previous quarter.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB2.5 billion (US$387 million), compared to RMB243 million (US$39 million) in 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), net income attributable to Ctrip’s shareholders was RMB3.2 billion (US$486 million), compared to RMB739 million(US$119 million) in 2014.

Diluted earnings per ADS were RMB0.19 (US$0.03) for the fourth quarter of 2015. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), diluted earnings per ADS were RMB0.69 (US$0.11) for the fourth quarter of 2015**.

For the full year ended December 31, 2015, diluted earnings per ADS were RMB7.11 (US$1.10), compared to RMB0.79(US$0.13) in 2014. Excluding share-based compensation charges (non-GAAP), diluted earnings per ADS wereRMB8.80 (US$1.36), compared to RMB2.42 (US$0.39) in 2014**.

As of December 31, 2015, the balance of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investment wasRMB29.7 billion (US$4.6 billion).

Qunar Transactions

In October 2015, Ctrip completed a share exchange transaction with Baidu. Upon completion of the exchange, Ctrip beneficially owned ordinary shares of Qunar Cayman Islands Limited (“Qunar”) representing approximately 45% of Qunar’s aggregate voting interests. Subsequent to the transaction with Baidu, Ctrip issued ordinary shares to certain special purpose vehicles for exchange transactions solely for the benefit of Qunar employees and made certain investments in investment entities managed or owned by parties unaffiliated with each other and unaffiliated with Ctrip that acquired a significant minority stake of Qunar. From accounting perspective, Ctrip has consolidated Qunar‘s financial results since December 31, 2015.

Investment in MakeMyTrip

In January, 2016, Ctrip made an investment of US$180 million in MakeMyTrip Limited (“MakeMyTrip”), India’s largest online travel company, via convertible bonds. In addition, MakeMyTrip has granted Ctrip permission to acquireMakeMyTrip shares in the open market, so that combined with shares convertible under the convertible bonds, Ctrip may beneficially own up to 26.6% of MakeMyTrip’s outstanding shares. Following the completion of the investment in January, 2016, Ctrip appointed a director to the MakeMyTrip board of directors.

Business Outlook

For the first quarter of 2016, the Company expects to continue the net revenue growth year-on-year at a rate of approximately 75-80%, reflecting the consolidation of Qunar’s financial results. This forecast reflects Ctrip’s current and preliminary view, which is subject to change. (Original Source)

Shares of Ctrip International are down nearly 4% in after-hours trading. CTRP has a 1-year high of $57.36 and a 1-year low of $22.70. The stock’s 50-day moving average is $40.30 and its 200-day moving average is $42.08.

On the ratings front, Ctrip has been the subject of a number of recent research reports. In a report issued on February 23, J.P. Morgan analyst Vivian Hao initiated coverage with a Buy rating on CTRP and a price target of $50, which implies an upside of 17.3% from current levels. Separately, on February 18, CLSA’s Elinor Leung upgraded the stock to Buy .

According to TipRanks.com, which ranks over 7,500 financial analysts and bloggers to gauge the performance of their past recommendations, Vivian Hao and Elinor Leung have a total average return of 2.1% and 22.4% respectively. Hao has a success rate of 57.1% and is ranked #1324 out of 3717 analysts, while Leung has a success rate of 66.7% and is ranked #610.

Overall, 5 research analysts have given a Buy rating to the stock. When considering if perhaps the stock is under or overvalued, the average price target is $55.00 which is 29.1% above where the stock opened today.

Ctrip.com International Ltd provides travel related services including hotel reservation, air-ticketing, packaged-tour services, as well as, to a much lesser extent, Internet-related advertising and other related services.