Valeant

Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl Inc (NYSE:VRX) announced third quarter 2016 financial results.

“This past quarter, we made further progress toward establishing the new Valeant,” said Joseph C. Papa, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “We have, where appropriate, begun to centralize some parts of the business, and hired two key senior executives: Paul Herendeen, Chief Financial Officer, and Dr. Louis Yu, Chief Quality Officer.  We also have started to present our financial results under three operating and reportable segments, which we believe will help clarify areas of strength and provide additional transparency. While we have revised our expectations for the remainder of 2016, I continue to be encouraged by the commitment of our employees who work each day toward meeting our mission of helping improve people’s lives through our healthcare products.”

Total Revenues

Total Revenues in the third quarter of 2016 were $2.48 billion as compared to $2.79 billion in the third quarter of 2015, a decrease of 11%, primarily due to a decline in product sales revenues from our existing businesses. Third quarter revenues were also impacted by negative foreign currency exchange, as well as divestitures and discontinuations, which were partially offset by incremental product sales revenues from acquisitions completed in 2015.

On a sequential basis, revenues grew from a base of $2.37 billion in the first quarter of 2016 to$2.42 billion in the second quarter to $2.48 billion in the third quarter.

GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS)

GAAP EPS for the third quarter of 2016 came in at ($3.49) as compared to $0.14 in the third quarter of 2015.  On a sequential basis, GAAP EPS moved from ($1.08) in the first quarter of 2016 to ($0.88) in the second quarter to ($3.49) in the third quarter.

Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP)

Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) for the third quarter of 2016 came in at $1.55 as compared to $2.41 in the third quarter of 2015.  On a sequential basis, adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) grew from $1.27 in the first quarter of 2016 to $1.40 in the second quarter to $1.55 in the third quarter.

Net Income (Loss)

Net loss in the third quarter of 2016 was ($1.22) billion as compared to net income of $49.5 millionin the third quarter of 2015.  As a result of the goodwill impairment analyses conducted in connection with the change in its reporting units, the Company recognized a goodwill impairment charge of $1.05 billion in the three months ended September 30, 2016, mainly attributable to the lower fair value in certain US businesses, mainly the Salix business. The net loss in the third quarter was mainly attributable to this goodwill impairment charge.

Adjusted Net Income (non-GAAP)

Adjusted net income (non-GAAP) in the third quarter of 2016 was $543 million as compared to$845 million in the third quarter of 2015. On a sequential basis, adjusted net income (non-GAAP) was $443 million in the first quarter of 2016, growing to $488 million the second quarter followed by $543 million in the third quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA(non-GAAP)

Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) for the third quarter of 2016 came in at $1.16 billion, an improvement over second quarter results of $1.09 billion and first quarter results of $1.01 billion.

Segment Revenues

As announced on August 9, 2016, Valeant now presents results in three operating and reportable segments: Bausch + Lomb / International, Branded Rx, and U.S. Diversified Products.

The Bausch + Lomb / International segment consists of (i) sales in the U.S. of pharmaceutical products, OTC products and medical device products in the area of eye health, primarily comprised of Bausch & Lomb products, with a focus on four product offerings (Vision Care, Surgical, Consumer and Ophthalmology Rx), and (ii) branded pharmaceutical products, branded generic pharmaceutical products, OTC products, medical devices, and Bausch + Lomb products sold in Europe, Asia,Australia and New Zealand, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East.

In the third quarter of 2016, the Bausch + Lomb / International segment reported revenues of$1.16 billion, an increase of 4% from $1.12 billion in the third quarter of 2015. The segment, which contributed 47% of total company revenues, reflected an increase in product sales revenues of $67 million in the third quarter of 2016 from all 2015 acquisitions, partially offset by a $4 million decline in product sales revenues from our existing businesses. The decline was primarily due to lower realized prices related to our ophthalmology products as a result of the implementation of rebates and other price adjustments versus prior year.

The decline in product sales due to lower realized prices was partially offset by higher volumes inU.S. consumer product sales, as well as product sales in Eastern Europe (excluding Poland) and China.  The results were also affected by, to a lesser extent, the negative impact of foreign exchange on the existing business and from divestitures and product discontinuations.

On a sequential basis, segment revenues grew from $1.07 billion in the first quarter of 2016 to $1.2 billion in the second quarter and $1.16 billion in the third quarter.

The Branded Rx segment consists of sales of pharmaceutical products related to (i) the Salix product portfolio in the U.S., (ii) the Dermatological product portfolio in the U.S., (iii) the Canadian product portfolio, and (iv) product portfolios in the U.S., in the areas of oncology, dentistry and women’s health.

The Branded Rx segment reported third quarter 2016 revenues of $847 million, a decline from $1.1 billion in the third quarter of 2015. The segment, which contributed 34% of total company revenues, reflected a decline in product sales revenue from our existing business of $251 million in the third quarter.  The gap was primarily a result of lower average realized prices resulting from higher managed care rebates in dermatology and Salix, lower price appreciation credits in dermatology and Salix, and changes in the fulfillment model which led to reduced volumes.

Wholesaler inventory levels at Salix were reduced to approximately 1.5 months as of September 30, 2016, consistent with the overall inventory levels at our U.S. wholesalers for branded products (excluding generic products).

On a sequential basis, segment revenues grew from $739 million in the first quarter of 2016 and$732 million in the second quarter to $847 million in the third quarter.

The U.S. Diversified Products segment consists of (i) sales in the U.S. of pharmaceutical products, OTC products and medical device products in the areas of neurology and certain other therapeutic classes, including aesthetics (which includes the Solta and Obagi businesses), and (ii) sales of generic products in the U.S.

The U.S. Diversified Products segment reported third quarter 2016 revenues of $471 million, a decline from $564 million in the third quarter of 2015.  The segment, which contributed 19% of total company revenues, reflected a decline in product sales revenue from our existing business of$92 million, primarily due to our neurology products being challenged by generic competition.

To a lesser extent, the decline in product sales was due to lower average realized prices of our neurology products, which resulted from higher managed care rebates, lower price appreciation credits and higher group purchasing organization chargebacks on Nitropress® and Isuprel®, as well as the negative impact from divestitures and discontinuations.  These factors were partially offset by the incremental product sales revenue from all 2015 acquisitions.

On a sequential basis, segment revenues lagged from $560 million in the first quarter of 2016 to$491 million in the second quarter to $471 million in the third quarter.

Operating Expenses

Cost of Goods Sold increased $15 million, or 2%, to $649 million in the third quarter of 2016 as compared to $635 million in the third quarter of 2015, primarily due to an increase related to acquisitions completed in 2015, as well as costs associated with the voluntary recall of PeroxiClear®, partially offset by a decline in sales volumes, and decreases related to divestitures and discontinuations.

As a percentage of total revenues, COGS was 26% in the third quarter of 2016, as compared to 23% in the same period in 2015.  The increase in COGS percentage was primarily driven by unfavorable foreign exchange, the impact of mix mainly lower neurology revenues due to generic competition, and lower dermatology revenues. Those factors were partially offset by a favorable sales impact from certain products acquired in the Salix acquisition in 2015, such as Xifaxan®, which represent higher margin products as compared to our overall portfolio.

On a sequential basis, COGS rose from $620 million in the first quarter of 2016 to $647 million in the second quarter and $649 million in the third quarter of 2016. COGS as a percentage of total revenues was 26% in the first quarter of 2016, followed by 27% in the second quarter and 26% in the third quarter.

Selling, General and Administrative (SG&A) expenses decreased $37 million, or 5%, to $661 million in the third quarter of 2016 as compared to $698 million in the third quarter of 2015.  As a percentage of total revenues, SG&A was 27% in the third quarter of 2016, as compared to 25% in the same period in 2015.  SG&A reflected lower expenses of approximately $73 million incurred by the U.S. operations, primarily due to lower advertising and promotional expenses for our dermatology business.  This was offset by higher corporate expenditures of $22 million primarily driven by increased personnel costs resulting from changes in our senior management team as well as professional fees incurred related to our material weakness remediation efforts, higher expenses of $17 million related to 2015 acquisitions, and  professional fees of $18 million in the third quarter in connection with recent legal and governmental proceedings, investigations and information requests relating to, among other matters, our distribution, marketing, pricing, disclosure and accounting practices.

SG&A has shown a quarterly sequential decline from $813 million in the first quarter of 2016 to$672 million in the second quarter and $661 million in the third quarter. As a percentage of total revenues, SG&A has shown a sequential quarterly decline from 34% in the first quarter of 2016 to 28% in the second quarter and 27% in the third quarter.

Research and development (R&D) expenses remained flat at $101 million in the third quarter of 2016 as compared to the third quarter of 2015.   In the first nine months of 2016, R&D increased$90 million, or 38%, to $328 million as compared to $239 million in the first nine months of 2015, primarily due to the development programs related to the Company’s dermatology product portfolio, as well as spending on brodalumab and programs acquired from Salix.

GAAP Cash Flow from Operations

GAAP Cash flow from operations was $570 million in the third quarter of 2016 as compared to $733 million in the third quarter of 2015.  On a sequential basis, GAAP Cash flow from operations was$557 million in the first quarter of 2016, $448 million in the second quarter and $570 million in the third quarter.

2016 Full Year Guidance Revised

Valeant has revised its full year 2016 guidance as follows:

  • Total Revenues now expected to be in the range $9.55 billion – $9.65 billion, from previous range of  $9.9 billion to $10.1 billion
  • Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) now expected to be $5.30 – $5.50, from previous range of  $6.60 -$7.00
  • Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) now $4.25 billion – $4.35 billion, from previous range of $4.80 billion – $4.95 billion

Other than with respect to Total Revenues, the Company only provides guidance on a non-GAAP basis. The Company does not provide reconciliations of forward-looking Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) and Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) to GAAP, due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations. In periods where there are not expected to be significant acquisitions or divestitures, the Company believes it might have a basis for forecasting the GAAP equivalent for certain costs, such as amortization, that would otherwise be treated as non-GAAP to calculate projected net income (loss).  However, because other deductions (such as restructuring, gain or loss on extinguishment of debt and litigation settlements) used to calculate projected net income (loss) vary dramatically based on actual events, the Company is not able to forecast on a GAAP basis with reasonable certainty all deductions needed in order to provide a GAAP calculation of projected net income (loss) at this time.  The amounts of these deductions may be material and, therefore, could result in projected GAAP EPS and GAAP net income (loss) being materially less than projected Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) and Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP). (Original Sourcek)

Shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals are currently falling nearly 15% to $16.25 in pre-market trading Tuesday.

On the ratings front, Valeant has been the subject of a number of recent research reports. In a report issued on November 3, Canaccord Genuity analyst Neil Maruoka reiterated a Hold rating on VRX, with a price target of $33, which represents a potential upside of 73% from where the stock is currently trading. Separately, on November 2, Morgan Stanley’s David Risinger maintained a Buy rating on the stock and has a price target of $42.

According to TipRanks.com, which ranks over 7,500 financial analysts and bloggers to gauge the performance of their past recommendations, Neil Maruoka and David Risinger have a yearly average loss of 42.9% and 8.3% respectively. Maruoka has a success rate of 13% and is ranked #4049 out of 4181 analysts, while Risinger has a success rate of 35% and is ranked #3875.

Overall, 2 research analysts have rated the stock with a Sell rating, 6 research analysts have assigned a Hold rating and 3 research analysts have given a Buy rating to the stock. When considering if perhaps the stock is under or overvalued, the average price target is $25.63 which is 34.0% above where the stock closed yesterday.

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. is a multinational specialty pharmaceutical company that develops manufactures and markets a broad range of pharmaceutical products primarily in the areas of dermatology, eye health, neurology, and branded generics. The company operates through two operating and reportable segments: (i) Developed Markets and (ii) Emerging Markets. The Developed Markets segment consists of (i) sales in the U.S. of pharmaceutical products, OTC products, and medical device products, as well as alliance and contract service revenues, in the areas of eye health, dermatology and podiatry, aesthetics and dentistry, (ii) sales in the U.S. of pharmaceutical products indicated for the treatment of neurological and other diseases, as well as alliance revenue from the licensing of various products it developed or acquired, and (iii) pharmaceutical products, OTC products, and medical device products sold in Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Western Europe and Japan. The Emerging Markets segment consists of branded generic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceuticals, OTC products, and medical device products. Products are sold primarily in Central and Eastern Europe (primarily Poland and Russia), Asia, Latin America (Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina and exports out of Mexico to other Latin American markets), Africa and the Middle East.