Leigh Drogen

About the Author Leigh Drogen

Leigh Drogen is the Founder and CEO of Estimize. Estimize is an open financial estimates platform which facilitates the aggregation of fundamental estimates from independent, buy-side, and sell-side analysts, along with those of industry experts, private investors and students. By sourcing estimates from a diverse community of individuals, Estimize provides both a more accurate and more representative view of expectations compared to sell side only data. Leigh started his career as a quant trader at Geller Capital, a White Plains, NY based fund where he ran strategies that looked at earnings acceleration and analyst estimate revision models, as well as price momentum and several sentiment indicators. Leigh later went on to be the founder of Surfview Capital, a New York based asset management firm that used many of the same strategies as Geller Capital, with a focus on higher beta names on an intermediate term time frame. His educational background includes focus in economics and international relations, specifically war theory. He is a graduate with honors from Hunter College in New York City. You can contact Leigh by emailing him at Leigh@estimize.com

Here’s Why Apple Stock Will Drift Higher Before Monday’s Report (AAPL)

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Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) set a new record during the holiday period by selling an all time best 74.5 million iPhones. Adding fuel to the fire, Mac sales and App store revenue hit new highs too.

The result was a quarter laced with jaw dropping numbers. Apple pulled in $18 billion in net profit and global sales reached $57.6 billion.

In the aftermath of the best quarter in the history of business, the expectations around Apple’s next quarter continue to rise. The consensus estimates from Wall Street and Estimize are both surging ahead of Apple’s 2nd fiscal quarter earnings release scheduled for Monday afternoon.

 

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No one expects Apple to top its holiday period performance, but higher earnings estimates are coming in each day. Since Apple’s last earnings report in January, the earnings consensus from Estimize has climbed 6% from $2.13 per share to $2.26. Similarly, Wall Street has raised its EPS forecast from $2.09 to $2.17.

 

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The Estimize revenue consensus has increased from $55.41 billion to $57.18 billion and the Wall Street sales forecast has risen from $55.26 billion to $56.07 billion. Both of these estimates are well above Apple’s guidance of $53.50 billion.

When consensus estimates flourish before an earnings report, it’s often a bullish indicator. Furthermore, when the Estimize consensus is higher than the Wall Street consensus, on average stocks display a positive pre-earnings drift over the 3 days prior to the report. As expected Apple is outperforming the broader market in midday trading Thursday.