Quoth the Raven

About the Author Quoth the Raven

Bookmark QTR's new blog, where exclusive (and always FREE) content will be available: http://quoththeravensa.wordpress.com/ Visit QTR and check out trading ideas, commentary, and me arguing with idiots on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/quoththeravensa --- QTR's ARTICLES ARE BOUND BY SA'S CONTRIBUTOR POLICY IN ADDITION TO THIS ENTIRE LENGTHY, YET EXTREMELY PERTINENT ADD ON DISCLOSURE, WHICH SERVES AS BOTH A STANDALONE DISCLOSURE AND AN AMENDMENT TO ANY AND ALL DISCLOSURES ALREADY PRESIDING OVER SEEKING ALPHA: Quoth the Raven's ("QTR") articles are the sole product of QTR and his personal, individual opinions. These articles are not associated with, in any way, the opinions, strategies, or works of QTR's employer, associates, or entities in any way otherwise related to QTR. (i.e. This are solely my personal thoughts and opinions) You agree that by reading Quoth the Raven's articles, you are acting at your OWN RISK. In NO EVENT should QTR be liable for any direct or indirect trading losses caused by any information contained in QTR's articles, StockTalks, or other internet-based dissemination methods. Information in QTR's articles are not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall any security be offered or sold to any person, in any jurisdiction in which such offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. QTR is not suggesting the transacting of any financial instruments and QTR suggests consulting your personal financial adviser with regards to any such transactions. QTR makes no representations, and specifically disclaims all warranties, express, implied, or statutory, regarding the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of any material contained in this site. Again, you should seek the advice of your personal financial adviser or a security professional regarding your stock transactions. QTR does not, in any way, guarantee that he is providing all of the information that may be available on any topic written. QTR recommends, again, that you do your own due diligence and consult a registered financial adviser before buying or selling any security. QTR most always holds a position in any of the securities profiled in his pieces and he constructs his SA disclosures in accordance with SA's Contributor Policy, to the best of his knowledge in order to maintain transparency and also to uphold and respect pertinent securities laws. QTR may or may not report when a position is initiated or covered. Each investor must make that decision based on his/her judgment of the market. I am not a stockbroker or financial adviser. I am a casual investor making casual observations for the purpose of discussion and open communication and analysis of companies and stocks. All articles are my opinion only and are not suggestions to buy or sell any equity, bond, option or other financial instrument. QTR may have long or short positions in any tickers mentioned at any time and reserves the right to open, close, or modify positions at all time without notice. My conclusions are the result of my personal due diligence and have been wrong in the past. There are tons of unqualified people out there offering up financial advice and its your responsibility to sort through the BS. You don't hit the button to fill my orders and I don't hit yours, so no whining or praising over stocks covered by me. ---- Follow QTR on Twitter: https://twitter.com/QuoththeRavenSA View QTR's Stock Picking Performance for every article at TipRanks: https://www.tipranks.com/experts/quoth-the-raven See Seeking Alpha's policy on anonymous authors.

Apparent Proof Of A Stunning Slowdown In Herbalife Purchasing Traffic

This is going to be a brief write-up, with a stunning conclusion, that involves the website MyHerbalife.com. This is what the site looks like:

For some of these things, it’s just better to let the data do the talking. Before I spill the beans, let’s review a couple of items.

MyHerbalife.com is a website where North American (primarily US) SUPERVISORS go to purchase product directly from the company. This is the distributor agreement that tells us this.


 

 

 

 

Compete and Alexa are two of the most respected analytic shops for detailing website traffic. They’re expensive for business owners to monitor their traffic – because they are the best at what they do.

Think Q3 was rough for Herbalife (NYSE:HLF)? Well, I submit for you these two charts showing the total traffic heading over to MyHerbalife.com. In short,it appears to have fallen off a cliff.

 

What do these two charts tell me? If these were stock charts, they both just would have broken their one-year support. I believe this to be a horrifyingly accurate look into how the company is performing right now, based on the amount of people that visit its wholesale site. In essence, this data could be considered rather material, as you can assume this traffic directly correlates with the amount of revenue Herbalife brings in from the North American market.

These charts show how MyHerbalife.com has fallen from an Alexa rank of 6,000th to now 16,000th in the United States since David Einhorn asked his infamously pesky question on Herbalife’s May 2012 conference call.

FTC or no FTC, Herbalife appears to be in a heap of trouble. Between this declining traffic and what I believe will be a coming disaster from global currencies, Herbalife seems to be shaping up to have another horrendous quarter in Q4.

More on “The Perfect Storm that Will Bury Herbalife” (my next piece), coming soon.

According to TipRanks.com, which measures analysts’ and bloggers’ success rate based on how their calls perform, blogger Quoth the Raven has a total average return of +11.1% and a 67% success rate. Quoth the Raven is Ranked #111 out of 4122 Bloggers